I came across an interesting article by Leon Gettler today titled "Risk management in the era of unpredictability" (page 6, in the Opinion and Analysis Business Section of The Age newspaper, 1 Feb 2011).
Interesting not only because it reflected a position dear to my heart, - but interesting because it was a lead article specialising in what I thought was "a given". Can it still be that modern companies and organisations HAVE NOT adopted a flexible approach to risk management? What are they thinking? The solution is necessary - and it is not difficult.
In terms of the necessity of the solution Gettler wrote:
"The conventional risk-management approach lists possible events and  determines the probability of their occurring based on  experience. You  measure the costs and benefits of specific risk-protection measures and  implement these measures for each risk. The problem  is that it assumes  risks are local and routine and fails to take into account the impact  they may have on different organisations and states. It does not factor  in the impact of the growing number of unlikely but potentially  devastating events. It is an outdated approach that robs organisations  of their agility.              Clearly, these sorts of events are impossible to predict.  So, how should organisations respond? It is a subject that should be  reviewed by boards regularly. Companies should have scenario-mapping  teams that report to the board and work with suppliers and customers to  identify potential threats. Twenty-first century risk management is not  about predicting the future. It is about systems and relationships that  create an organisation agile enough to respond when disaster strikes. (my emphasis) As  it will."
In terms of the solution being "straightforward", if an organisation asks the fifteen questions in the diagram below, they will have the necessary and sufficient profile - of both their vulnerability and their needs.

 
